Drake Peak Lookout

Lakeview, Fremont-Winema National Forest, Oregon

Tonight: low 29 °F, calm and dry.

Nights by month

Night lows from 2016 to 2025: a typical night, and the cold one that comes 1 night in 10.

The mildest nights are in August, typically 52°F. The coldest are in February, when 1 night in 10 drops to 8°F. Frost is common in January, February, March, April, May, October, November and December.

Typical nightCold night (1 in 10)
  1. Jan22°F 10°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 97% · rain or snow 46% of days
  2. Feb19°F 8°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 97% · rain or snow 41% of days
  3. Mar22°F 13°FBag comfortable to 15°F · frost 92% · rain or snow 46% of days
  4. Apr28°F 17°FBag comfortable to 20°F · frost 76% · rain or snow 33% of days
  5. May35°F 25°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 38% · rain or snow 32% of days
  6. Jun43°F 33°FBag comfortable to 35°F · frost 8% · rain or snow 21% of days
  7. Jul52°F 46°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 8% of days
  8. Aug52°F 45°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 11% of days
  9. Sep (this month)44°F 35°FBag comfortable to 35°F · frost 4% · rain or snow 18% of days
  10. Oct35°F 24°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 39% · rain or snow 22% of days
  11. Nov26°F 14°FBag comfortable to 15°F · frost 73% · rain or snow 32% of days
  12. Dec21°F 9°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 93% · rain or snow 39% of days

| = 32°F

History: ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis via Open-Meteo, corrected to the site's elevation. Bag rating: the comfort rating that keeps you warm in a tent on 9 of 10 nights that month.

Tonight

Rough nightFriday, September 25, 10 p.m. to 7 a.m.

Cold from below: pad

Your setup looks too cold for this night

Expected from around 10 p.m.

The cold comes from underneath: your pad does not insulate enough from the ground.

Best change

Add insulation underneath until you have about R3.5 in total (estimate).

  • A closed-cell foam mat under your pad adds about R2.
  • Folded blankets or spare clothes help if you have nothing else.

This is based on typical values for the gear types you picked, so treat it as an estimate.

  • Low outside29°F
  • Moisturedry
  • Windcalm

Your night

  1. 10 p.m. to 1 a.m.Chilly. Add a layerAir around you 38 to 36°F.
  2. 1 a.m. until morningCold. Your setup is not warm enoughAir around you 34 to 32°F.
Every hour
  • 10 p.m.38°Fchilly
  • 11 p.m.37°Fchilly
  • midnight36°Fchilly
  • 1 a.m.34°Fcold
  • 2 a.m.34°Fcold
  • 3 a.m.33°Fcold
  • 4 a.m.32°Fcold
  • 5 a.m.32°Fcold
  • 6 a.m.33°Fcold
  • 7 a.m.33°Fcold

Times are local time at your spot (GMT-7).

What works tonight

The gear this night calls for, for someone who sleeps like you.

  • Missing

    Sleeping bag

    Comfort 30°F or colder

    Usually sold as a 21° bag. The number in a bag's name is the limit, not the comfort.

  • Missing

    Underneath you

    R3.5 or more

    The R-value says how well a pad keeps the cold ground out.

  • Worth adding

    Also useful

    A bag liner

    Adds a few degrees to the bag you already own.

Before you sleep

  • Put on a warm layer and a hat before about 10 p.m., or go to bed already wearing them.
  • Eat a proper meal with some fat before bed. Your body keeps burning it through the night.
  • Pee right before you get in your bag. Getting out at 3 a.m. in the cold is worse.
  • Sleep in dry clothes, not the ones you wore all day. Damp fabric pulls heat out of you.
  • Fill a sturdy water bottle with hot (not boiling) water, check the lid does not leak, and put it in your bag by your core or feet.
How we estimated this

At the coldest hour (4 a.m.):

Outside at your spot
29°F
Warmth your shelter holds
+3 °F
Air around you
32°F
Your bag's comfort rating
39°F
Cold ground through what you lie on
+8 °F
Your comfort limit
47°F

15 °F short, so you will likely be cold.

Assumptions

  • Bag categories use typical ratings as sold: summer about 50 °F (10 °C), 3-season about 30 °F (-1 °C), winter about 15 °F (-9 °C). The number in a bag's name is usually its lower limit, so its comfort rating is about 9 °F (5 °C) warmer.
  • What you lie on: foam mat about R2, thin air pad about R1.5, insulated pad about R3.5, winter pad R5 and up, van bed about R4, air mattress about R0.5. Colder ground needs a higher R-value.
  • Shelters hold a few degrees early in the night and less towards morning. Wind and clear, calm skies take warmth away.
  • Weather: Open-Meteo forecast for your spot, on a grid of a few kilometers, corrected to its height.
  • These are rules of thumb, not measurements. People and gear vary.

A forecast, not a promise. Mountains, valleys and water make their own weather, so trust what you see and feel on site. Terms and liability

Checked for a double-wall tent, a 3-season bag and a thin air pad. Check your own gear here.

Book or read more on Recreation.gov

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