Green Ridge

Morrison, Arapaho & Roosevelt National Forests Pawnee NG, Colorado

Tonight: low 30 °F, calm and dry.

Nights by month

Night lows from 2016 to 2025: a typical night, and the cold one that comes 1 night in 10.

The mildest nights are in July, typically 48°F. The coldest are in January, when 1 night in 10 drops to -4°F. Frost is common in January, February, March, April, May, October, November and December.

Typical nightCold night (1 in 10)
  1. Jan8°F -4°FBag comfortable to -5°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 45% of days
  2. Feb8°F -2°FBag comfortable to 0°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 49% of days
  3. Mar14°F 4°FBag comfortable to 5°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 43% of days
  4. Apr21°F 10°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 98% · rain or snow 46% of days
  5. May30°F 21°FBag comfortable to 20°F · frost 71% · rain or snow 40% of days
  6. Jun39°F 33°FBag comfortable to 35°F · frost 9% · rain or snow 29% of days
  7. Jul48°F 43°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 36% of days
  8. Aug47°F 42°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 34% of days
  9. Sep41°F 33°FBag comfortable to 35°F · frost 8% · rain or snow 23% of days
  10. Oct29°F 13°FBag comfortable to 15°F · frost 67% · rain or snow 28% of days
  11. Nov (this month)15°F 2°FBag comfortable to 5°F · frost 99% · rain or snow 31% of days
  12. Dec8°F -3°FBag comfortable to -5°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 43% of days

| = 32°F

History: ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis via Open-Meteo, corrected to the site's elevation. Bag rating: the comfort rating that keeps you warm in a tent on 9 of 10 nights that month.

Tonight

Rough nightMonday, November 9, 10 p.m. to 7 a.m.

Cold from below: pad

Your setup looks too cold for this night

Expected from around 10 p.m.

The cold comes from underneath: your pad does not insulate enough from the ground.

Best change

Add insulation underneath until you have about R3.5 in total (estimate).

  • A closed-cell foam mat under your pad adds about R2.
  • Folded blankets or spare clothes help if you have nothing else.

This is based on typical values for the gear types you picked, so treat it as an estimate.

  • Low outside30°F
  • Moisturedry
  • Windcalm

Your night

  1. 10 p.m. to 1 a.m.Chilly. Add a layerAir around you 40 to 35°F.
  2. 1 a.m. until morningCold. Your setup is not warm enoughAir around you 34 to 30°F.
Every hour
  • 10 p.m.40°Fchilly
  • 11 p.m.37°Fchilly
  • midnight35°Fchilly
  • 1 a.m.34°Fcold
  • 2 a.m.34°Fcold
  • 3 a.m.33°Fcold
  • 4 a.m.32°Fcold
  • 5 a.m.31°Fcold
  • 6 a.m.31°Fcold
  • 7 a.m.30°Fcold

Times are local time at your spot (GMT-7).

What works tonight

The gear this night calls for, for someone who sleeps like you.

  • Missing

    Sleeping bag

    Comfort 30°F or colder

    Usually sold as a 21° bag. The number in a bag's name is the limit, not the comfort.

  • Missing

    Underneath you

    R3.5 or more

    The R-value says how well a pad keeps the cold ground out.

Before you sleep

  • Put on a warm layer and a hat before about 10 p.m., or go to bed already wearing them.
  • Eat a proper meal with some fat before bed. Your body keeps burning it through the night.
  • Pee right before you get in your bag. Getting out at 3 a.m. in the cold is worse.
  • Sleep in dry clothes, not the ones you wore all day. Damp fabric pulls heat out of you.
  • Fill a sturdy water bottle with hot (not boiling) water, check the lid does not leak, and put it in your bag by your core or feet.
How we estimated this

At the coldest hour (7 a.m.):

Outside at your spot
30°F
Warmth your shelter holds
+2 °F
Clear-sky cooling
−2 °F
Air around you
30°F
Your bag's comfort rating
39°F
Cold ground through what you lie on
+8 °F
Your comfort limit
47°F

17 °F short, so you will likely be cold.

Assumptions

  • Bag categories use typical ratings as sold: summer about 50 °F (10 °C), 3-season about 30 °F (-1 °C), winter about 15 °F (-9 °C). The number in a bag's name is usually its lower limit, so its comfort rating is about 9 °F (5 °C) warmer.
  • What you lie on: foam mat about R2, thin air pad about R1.5, insulated pad about R3.5, winter pad R5 and up, van bed about R4, air mattress about R0.5. Colder ground needs a higher R-value.
  • Shelters hold a few degrees early in the night and less towards morning. Wind and clear, calm skies take warmth away.
  • Weather: Open-Meteo forecast for your spot, on a grid of a few kilometers, corrected to its height.
  • These are rules of thumb, not measurements. People and gear vary.

A forecast, not a promise. Mountains, valleys and water make their own weather, so trust what you see and feel on site. Terms and liability

Checked for a double-wall tent, a 3-season bag and a thin air pad. Check your own gear here.

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