Michigan Valley
Tonight: low 63 °F, some dew, rain likely.
Nights by month
Night lows from 2016 to 2025: a typical night, and the cold one that comes 1 night in 10.
The mildest nights are in July, typically 71°F. The coldest are in January, when 1 night in 10 drops to 9°F. Frost is common in January, February, March, November and December.
- Jan25°F 9°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 82% · rain or snow 22% of days
- Feb27°F 10°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 73% · rain or snow 19% of days
- Mar37°F 26°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 27% · rain or snow 28% of days
- Apr46°F 33°FBag comfortable to 35°F · frost 9% · rain or snow 39% of days
- May57°F 46°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 47% of days
- Jun68°F 60°FBag comfortable to 60°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 32% of days
- Jul71°F 65°FBag comfortable to 65°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 32% of days
- Aug69°F 62°FBag comfortable to 65°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 27% of days
- Sep (this month)64°F 55°FBag comfortable to 55°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 27% of days
- Oct50°F 37°FBag comfortable to 40°F · frost 5% · rain or snow 25% of days
- Nov39°F 23°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 30% · rain or snow 20% of days
- Dec29°F 18°FBag comfortable to 20°F · frost 65% · rain or snow 15% of days
| = 32°F
History: ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis via Open-Meteo, corrected to the site's elevation. Bag rating: the comfort rating that keeps you warm in a tent on 9 of 10 nights that month.
Tonight
Worth a lookFriday, September 25, 10 p.m. to 7 a.m.
Your selected gear looks warm enough
About 26 °F to spare at the coldest hour.
This is based on typical values for the gear types you picked, so treat it as an estimate.
Your night
- 10 p.m. until morningComfortableAir around you 69 to 65°F, some dew, rain likely from 5 a.m.
Every hour
- 10 p.m.69°Fcomfortable, some dew
- 11 p.m.69°Fcomfortable, some dew
- midnight68°Fcomfortable, some dew
- 1 a.m.68°Fcomfortable
- 2 a.m.68°Fcomfortable, some dew
- 3 a.m.66°Fcomfortable, some dew
- 4 a.m.67°Fcomfortable, chance of rain
- 5 a.m.66°Fcomfortable, rain likely
- 6 a.m.65°Fcomfortable, some dew
- 7 a.m.65°Fcomfortable
Times are local time at your spot (GMT-5).
What works tonight
The gear this night calls for, for someone who sleeps like you.
- You have this
Sleeping bag
Comfort 60°F or colder
Usually sold as a 51° bag. The number in a bag's name is the limit, not the comfort.
- You have this
Underneath you
R1 or more
The R-value says how well a pad keeps the cold ground out.
Before you sleep
- Rain is possible from about 4 a.m. Keep the rain fly on and bring shoes and packs inside.
- Bring shoes, clothes and electronics inside. Anything left out will be wet by morning.
How we estimated this
At the coldest hour (7 a.m.):
- Outside at your spot
- 63°F
- Warmth your shelter holds
- +2 °F
- Air around you
- 65°F
- Your bag's comfort rating
- 39°F
- Your comfort limit
- 39°F
26 °F to spare, so warm enough.
Assumptions
- Bag categories use typical ratings as sold: summer about 50 °F (10 °C), 3-season about 30 °F (-1 °C), winter about 15 °F (-9 °C). The number in a bag's name is usually its lower limit, so its comfort rating is about 9 °F (5 °C) warmer.
- What you lie on: foam mat about R2, thin air pad about R1.5, insulated pad about R3.5, winter pad R5 and up, van bed about R4, air mattress about R0.5. Colder ground needs a higher R-value.
- Shelters hold a few degrees early in the night and less towards morning. Wind and clear, calm skies take warmth away.
- Weather: Open-Meteo forecast for your spot, on a grid of a few kilometers, corrected to its height.
- These are rules of thumb, not measurements. People and gear vary.
A forecast, not a promise. Mountains, valleys and water make their own weather, so trust what you see and feel on site. Terms and liability
Checked for a double-wall tent, a 3-season bag and a thin air pad. Check your own gear here.
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