Quigley Group Use

Helena, Helena-Lewis and Clark National Forest, Montana

Tonight: low 36 °F, strong gusts.

Nights by month

Night lows from 2016 to 2025: a typical night, and the cold one that comes 1 night in 10.

The mildest nights are in July, typically 48°F. The coldest are in February, when 1 night in 10 drops to -18°F. Frost is common in January, February, March, April, May, June, September, October, November and December.

Typical nightCold night (1 in 10)
  1. Jan13°F -6°FBag comfortable to -5°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 29% of days
  2. Feb9°F -18°FBag comfortable to -15°F · frost 100% · rain or snow 42% of days
  3. Mar16°F 4°FBag comfortable to 5°F · frost 99% · rain or snow 33% of days
  4. Apr22°F 9°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 96% · rain or snow 40% of days
  5. May31°F 23°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 60% · rain or snow 47% of days
  6. Jun40°F 32°FBag comfortable to 30°F · frost 12% · rain or snow 40% of days
  7. Jul48°F 40°FBag comfortable to 40°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 21% of days
  8. Aug46°F 40°FBag comfortable to 40°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 23% of days
  9. Sep (this month)39°F 29°FBag comfortable to 30°F · frost 18% · rain or snow 25% of days
  10. Oct28°F 15°FBag comfortable to 15°F · frost 67% · rain or snow 30% of days
  11. Nov21°F 4°FBag comfortable to 5°F · frost 94% · rain or snow 28% of days
  12. Dec15°F -5°FBag comfortable to -5°F · frost 99% · rain or snow 31% of days

| = 32°F

History: ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis via Open-Meteo, corrected to the site's elevation. Bag rating: the comfort rating that keeps you warm in a tent on 9 of 10 nights that month.

Tonight

Worth a lookFriday, September 25, 10 p.m. to 7 a.m.

Cold from below: pad

Your setup looks borderline for this night

You may feel chilly from around 2 a.m.

The cold comes from underneath: your pad does not insulate enough from the ground.

Best change

Add insulation underneath until you have about R2.5 in total (estimate).

  • A closed-cell foam mat under your pad adds about R2.
  • Folded blankets or spare clothes help if you have nothing else.

This is based on typical values for the gear types you picked, so treat it as an estimate.

  • Low outside36°F
  • Moisturedry
  • Windstrong gusts, secure your shelter

Your night

  1. 10 p.m. to 2 a.m.ComfortableAir around you 48 to 44°F, strong gusts from 11 p.m. (up to 40 mph).
  2. 2 a.m. until morningChilly. Add a layerAir around you 42 to 38°F, gusty (up to 38 mph).
Every hour
  • 10 p.m.48°Fcomfortable, gusty
  • 11 p.m.47°Fcomfortable, strong gusts
  • midnight45°Fcomfortable, gusty
  • 1 a.m.44°Fcomfortable, gusty
  • 2 a.m.42°Fchilly, gusty
  • 3 a.m.41°Fchilly, gusty
  • 4 a.m.40°Fchilly, gusty
  • 5 a.m.39°Fchilly, gusty
  • 6 a.m.38°Fchilly, gusty
  • 7 a.m.38°Fchilly, gusty

Times are local time at your spot (GMT-6).

What works tonight

The gear this night calls for, for someone who sleeps like you.

  • Missing

    Sleeping bag

    Comfort 35°F or colder

    Usually sold as a 26° bag. The number in a bag's name is the limit, not the comfort.

  • Missing

    Underneath you

    R2.5 or more

    The R-value says how well a pad keeps the cold ground out.

  • Worth adding

    Also useful

    A bag liner

    Adds a few degrees to the bag you already own.

Before you sleep

  • Put on a warm layer and a hat before about 2 a.m., or go to bed already wearing them.
  • Eat a proper meal with some fat before bed. Your body keeps burning it through the night.
  • Pee right before you get in your bag. Getting out at 3 a.m. in the cold is worse.
  • Sleep in dry clothes, not the ones you wore all day. Damp fabric pulls heat out of you.
  • Stake out every guyline and point the low, narrow end of the tent into the wind.
  • Gusts get strong during the night. Do not pitch or park under dead trees or big dead branches.
How we estimated this

At the coldest hour (7 a.m.):

Outside at your spot
36°F
Warmth your shelter holds
+2 °F
Air around you
38°F
Your bag's comfort rating
39°F
Cold ground through what you lie on
+4 °F
Your comfort limit
43°F

5 °F short, so you will likely be cold.

Assumptions

  • Bag categories use typical ratings as sold: summer about 50 °F (10 °C), 3-season about 30 °F (-1 °C), winter about 15 °F (-9 °C). The number in a bag's name is usually its lower limit, so its comfort rating is about 9 °F (5 °C) warmer.
  • What you lie on: foam mat about R2, thin air pad about R1.5, insulated pad about R3.5, winter pad R5 and up, van bed about R4, air mattress about R0.5. Colder ground needs a higher R-value.
  • Shelters hold a few degrees early in the night and less towards morning. Wind and clear, calm skies take warmth away.
  • Weather: Open-Meteo forecast for your spot, on a grid of a few kilometers, corrected to its height.
  • These are rules of thumb, not measurements. People and gear vary.

A forecast, not a promise. Mountains, valleys and water make their own weather, so trust what you see and feel on site. Terms and liability

Checked for a double-wall tent, a 3-season bag and a thin air pad. Check your own gear here.

Book or read more on Recreation.gov

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