R.d. Bailey Lake Group Shelters
Tonight: low 47 °F, calm and dry.
Nights by month
Night lows from 2016 to 2025: a typical night, and the cold one that comes 1 night in 10.
The mildest nights are in July, typically 67°F. The coldest are in January, when 1 night in 10 drops to 11°F. Frost is common in January, February, March, April, November and December.
- Jan27°F 11°FBag comfortable to 10°F · frost 70% · rain or snow 44% of days
- Feb31°F 20°FBag comfortable to 20°F · frost 57% · rain or snow 49% of days
- Mar36°F 24°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 35% · rain or snow 41% of days
- Apr44°F 31°FBag comfortable to 30°F · frost 12% · rain or snow 40% of days
- May55°F 43°FBag comfortable to 45°F · frost 1% · rain or snow 52% of days
- Jun62°F 53°FBag comfortable to 55°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 46% of days
- Jul67°F 60°FBag comfortable to 60°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 49% of days
- Aug65°F 57°FBag comfortable to 60°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 44% of days
- Sep (this month)60°F 51°FBag comfortable to 50°F · frost 0% · rain or snow 30% of days
- Oct47°F 37°FBag comfortable to 40°F · frost 1% · rain or snow 28% of days
- Nov36°F 25°FBag comfortable to 25°F · frost 34% · rain or snow 33% of days
- Dec31°F 21°FBag comfortable to 20°F · frost 54% · rain or snow 39% of days
| = 32°F
History: ERA5 and ERA5-Land reanalysis via Open-Meteo, corrected to the site's elevation. Bag rating: the comfort rating that keeps you warm in a tent on 9 of 10 nights that month.
Tonight
Good nightFriday, September 25, 10 p.m. to 7 a.m.
Your selected gear looks warm enough
About 8 °F to spare at the coldest hour.
This is based on typical values for the gear types you picked, so treat it as an estimate.
Your night
- 10 p.m. until morningComfortableAir around you 57 to 47°F.
Every hour
- 10 p.m.57°Fcomfortable
- 11 p.m.56°Fcomfortable
- midnight55°Fcomfortable
- 1 a.m.54°Fcomfortable
- 2 a.m.52°Fcomfortable
- 3 a.m.51°Fcomfortable
- 4 a.m.50°Fcomfortable
- 5 a.m.49°Fcomfortable
- 6 a.m.48°Fcomfortable
- 7 a.m.47°Fcomfortable
Times are local time at your spot (GMT-4).
What works tonight
The gear this night calls for, for someone who sleeps like you.
- You have this
Sleeping bag
Comfort 45°F or colder
Usually sold as a 36° bag. The number in a bag's name is the limit, not the comfort.
- You have this
Underneath you
R1.5 or more
The R-value says how well a pad keeps the cold ground out.
How we estimated this
At the coldest hour (7 a.m.):
- Outside at your spot
- 47°F
- Warmth your shelter holds
- +2 °F
- Clear-sky cooling
- −2 °F
- Air around you
- 47°F
- Your bag's comfort rating
- 39°F
- Your comfort limit
- 39°F
8 °F to spare, so warm enough.
Assumptions
- Bag categories use typical ratings as sold: summer about 50 °F (10 °C), 3-season about 30 °F (-1 °C), winter about 15 °F (-9 °C). The number in a bag's name is usually its lower limit, so its comfort rating is about 9 °F (5 °C) warmer.
- What you lie on: foam mat about R2, thin air pad about R1.5, insulated pad about R3.5, winter pad R5 and up, van bed about R4, air mattress about R0.5. Colder ground needs a higher R-value.
- Shelters hold a few degrees early in the night and less towards morning. Wind and clear, calm skies take warmth away.
- Weather: Open-Meteo forecast for your spot, on a grid of a few kilometers, corrected to its height.
- These are rules of thumb, not measurements. People and gear vary.
A forecast, not a promise. Mountains, valleys and water make their own weather, so trust what you see and feel on site. Terms and liability
Checked for a double-wall tent, a 3-season bag and a thin air pad. Check your own gear here.
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